GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/12/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kayserispor are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Galatasaray are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.1 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Süper Lig, while Galatasaray holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galatasaray

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KayserisporDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
GalatasarayWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KayserisporGalatasaray
38.6Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
39.5Form33.3
45.1Power45.3
1.24xG1.36
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