Kayserisporvs
Bursaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kayserispor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kayserispor 1-2 Bursaspor
Original prediction
Kayserispor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.3% | 38.2% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.3% | 28.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.5% | 32.9% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Kayserispor
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40