Kayserisporvs
Batman Petrolspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kayserispor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kayserispor 2-2 Batman Petrolspor
Original prediction
Kayserispor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.3% | 71.9% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.1% | 16.2% | -8.0 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.6% | 11.9% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Kayserispor
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
71.9%
Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60