Kayavs
Manila Digger
COMPLETEDPhilippines · PFL · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaya 0-1 Manila Digger
Original prediction
Kaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.30 | 20.9% | 38.5% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.4% | 38.4% | -19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Kaya
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Kaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KayaWWWLL
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Manila DiggerWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KayaManila Digger
100.0Attack77.8
88.9Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
94.7Power93.5
2.46xG1.92