Kawkab Marrakechvs
Ittihad Tanger
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawkab Marrakech 2-1 Ittihad Tanger
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.8% | 34.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.66 | 34.1% | 30.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 34.9% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kawkab MarrakechWLDDD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ittihad TangerDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kawkab MarrakechIttihad Tanger
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power68.0
1.14xG1.23