GGOALVIO

Morocco · Botola Pro · 10/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kawkab Marrakech · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kawkab Marrakech 1-1 Difaa EL Jadida

Original prediction

Kawkab Marrakech

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 08:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.8%45.4%4.7 pts
Draw2.6733.9%27.6%-6.3 pts
Away3.5625.4%27.0%1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Kawkab Marrakech

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Kawkab Marrakech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawkab MarrakechWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Difaa EL JadidaWWLLD

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kawkab MarrakechDifaa EL Jadida
50.0Attack91.7
66.7Defence8.3
75.0Form50.0
67.4Power48.8
1.73xG1.13
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