Kawasaki Frontalevs
Vissel Kobe
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.8% | 32.0% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.4% | 23.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.8% | 44.8% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80