GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kawasaki Frontale are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the J1 League, while Kawasaki Frontale holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kawasaki Frontale

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

13.1%

Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawasaki FrontaleLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tokyo VerdyWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form16.7
45.3Power31.3
1.60xG1.09
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