Kawasaki Frontalevs
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.8% | 45.5% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 26.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.1% | 28.4% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40