GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kawasaki Frontale are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shonan Bellmare are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the J-League Cup, while Kawasaki Frontale holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kawasaki Frontale

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawasaki FrontaleDLLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shonan BellmareLLDDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kawasaki FrontaleShonan Bellmare
66.7Attack44.4
61.1Defence61.1
44.4Form33.3
54.9Power47.0
1.70xG1.07
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