Kawasaki Frontalevs
Shimizu S-pulse
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.2% | 44.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.7% | 27.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 24.1% | 28.2% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00