Kawasaki Frontalevs
Nagoya Grampus
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.5% | 65.0% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.9% | 19.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.6% | 15.7% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00