GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kawasaki Frontale are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the J1 League, while Kawasaki Frontale holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kawasaki Frontale

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

13.6%

Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawasaki FrontaleLDWWL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mito HollyhockDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kawasaki FrontaleMito Hollyhock
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
45.3Power36.5
1.48xG1.11
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