Kawasaki Frontalevs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 Kashima
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 36.1% | 47.2% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.3% | 22.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 37.6% | 30.1% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60