GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kawasaki Frontale are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kashima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kawasaki FrontaleWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KashimaDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence33.3
33.3Form100.0
48.3Power83.3
1.44xG1.59
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