Kawasaki Frontalevs
JEF United Chiba
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 JEF United Chiba
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 61.5% | 53.9% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.60 | 16.7% | 21.9% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00