Kawasaki Frontalevs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.8% | 55.9% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.6% | 21.3% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.6% | 22.8% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60