A LygaA Lyga
Saturday, 25 July 202617:00Updated today
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris

Home
WD
vs
17:00
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Kauno Žalgiris(43%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Kauno Žalgiris
43%
Draw
26%
Suduva Marijampole
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kauno Žalgiris
73
Suduva Marijampole
73
Defence
Kauno Žalgiris
46
Suduva Marijampole
66
Momentum
Kauno Žalgiris
67
Suduva Marijampole
100
Danger (xG)
Kauno Žalgiris
1.80
Suduva Marijampole
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Kauno Žalgiris)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Suduva Marijampole)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kauno Žalgiris)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Suduva Marijampole)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
WWDDW
Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole
WWD

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Kauno Žalgiris43%
Draw26%
Suduva Marijampole30%

Kauno Žalgiris leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kauno Žalgiris head into this in A Lyga fixture in mixed form (WD), while Suduva Marijampole arrive in decent form (WW). Kauno Žalgiris have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Suduva Marijampole over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Kauno Žalgiris (73/100) and Suduva Marijampole (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Kauno Žalgiris have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Suduva Marijampole have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Kauno Žalgiris and Suduva Marijampole in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Kauno Žalgiris to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Kauno Žalgiris 4345%, Draw 2618%, Suduva Marijampole 3037%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris

W
@ Drita
14 Jul 2026
32
W
vs Panevėžys
11 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Drita
7 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Džiugas Telšiai
3 Jul 2026
00
W
@ BFA
23 Jun 2026
30
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole

W
@ Panevėžys
29 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Džiugas Telšiai
21 Jun 2026
21
D
@ Hegelmann Litauen
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts Kauno Žalgiris to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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