Kauno Žalgirisvs
Šiauliai
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/10/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Kauno Žalgiris are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Šiauliai are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.4% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
87.4%
Model confidence
87.4%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80