Kauno ŽalgirisvsFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Kauno Žalgiris are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.