Kauno Žalgirisvs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 10/26/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris 0-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.1% | 55.0% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.8% | 24.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.2% | 20.6% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60