Kauno Žalgirisvs
Džiugas Telšiai
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/6/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Džiugas Telšiai, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris 5-0 Džiugas Telšiai
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 63.9% | 63.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.0% | 22.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 6.33 | 14.1% | 13.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Džiugas Telšiai
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00