Kauno Žalgirisvs
Brann
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann
Original prediction
Brann
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.46 | 21.1% | 25.6% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.8% | 25.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 55.1% | 49.2% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80