Kauno Žalgirisvs
Beşiktaş
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş
Original prediction
Beşiktaş
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.07 | 11.6% | 22.9% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 20.1% | 25.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 68.4% | 51.6% | -16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20