Kauno Žalgiris IIvs
Transinvest 2
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris II 0-2 Transinvest 2
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.7% | 47.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 23.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.7% | 29.1% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris II
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Kauno Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80