Kauno Žalgiris IIvs
Jonava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Kauno Žalgiris II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jonava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonava hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Jonava holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jonava
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
15.9%
Jonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20