GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Kauno Žalgiris II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jonava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonava hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Jonava holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jonava

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

15.9%

Jonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kauno Žalgiris IILWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JonavaLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIJonava
22.8Attack40.4
42.1Defence57.9
17.5Form40.4
30.3Power47.5
0.71xG1.36
View match centre →