Kauno Žalgiris IIvs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris II 3-0 Hegelmann II
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 45.9% | 41.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.6% | 25.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.5% | 33.1% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris II
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Kauno Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60