Kauno Žalgiris IIvs
Garliava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kauno Žalgiris II 0-0 Garliava, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris II 3-2 Garliava
Original prediction
Garliava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.4% | 27.5% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.5% | 28.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.1% | 43.7% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Kauno Žalgiris II 0–0 Garliava
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kauno Žalgiris IIWLWWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GarliavaLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIGarliava
29.0Attack36.2
47.8Defence60.9
27.5Form31.9
36.9Power43.9
0.72xG1.06