Kauno Žalgiris IIvs
Ekranas
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kauno Žalgiris II 2-1 Ekranas
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.4% | 46.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.0% | 27.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris II
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Kauno Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80