Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Katwijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Katwijk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Noordwijk are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Noordwijk hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Tweede Divisie, while Katwijk holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Katwijk
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Katwijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50