Katwijkvs
Kozakken Boys
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kozakken Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Katwijk 1-5 Kozakken Boys
Original prediction
Kozakken Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.9% | 35.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.5% | 23.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.6% | 40.9% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kozakken Boys
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Kozakken Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00