Katwijkvs
Ijsselmeervogels
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ijsselmeervogels · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Katwijk 1-2 Ijsselmeervogels
Original prediction
Ijsselmeervogels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.9% | 21.1% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 22.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.3% | 56.7% | 17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Ijsselmeervogels
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Ijsselmeervogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60