Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Katwijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Katwijk are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while FC Lisse are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lisse hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the Tweede Divisie, while Katwijk holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Katwijk
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Katwijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 2.33/2.67