Katwijkvs
De Treffers
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Katwijk 1-2 De Treffers
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.9% | 32.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 24.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.5% | 43.3% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00