Katwijkvs
Almere City II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Katwijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Katwijk 3-2 Almere City II
Original prediction
Katwijk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.7% | 39.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.0% | 25.8% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.3% | 34.4% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Katwijk
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Katwijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60