Katsina Unitedvs
Enyimba
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Katsina United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Katsina United 4-2 Enyimba
Original prediction
Katsina United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 43.3% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 29.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.3% | 27.7% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Katsina United
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Katsina United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20