Kataller Toyamavs
Yokohama FC
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kataller Toyama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kataller Toyama 3-3 Yokohama FC
Original prediction
Kataller Toyama
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.2% | 39.0% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 28.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.4% | 32.1% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Kataller Toyama
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Kataller Toyama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40