Kataller Toyamavs
Consadole Sapporo
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kataller Toyama · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kataller Toyama 0-1 Consadole Sapporo
Original prediction
Kataller Toyama
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.1% | 51.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.2% | 25.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.7% | 23.1% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Kataller Toyama
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Kataller Toyama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80