Kastrioti Krujëvs
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kastrioti Krujë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kastrioti Krujë 0-1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Original prediction
Kastrioti Krujë
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.6% | 39.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.5% | 28.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 29.8% | 32.3% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kastrioti Krujë
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Kastrioti Krujë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40