Kastamonusporvs
Isparta 32 Spor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isparta 32 Spor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kastamonuspor 2-2 Isparta 32 Spor
Original prediction
Isparta 32 Spor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 27.9% | 23.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 22.9% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.5% | 53.7% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Isparta 32 Spor
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Isparta 32 Spor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60