Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Hornau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hornau hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kassel
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 19 · avg 4.40/3.80
GF 12 · GA 18 · avg 2.40/3.60