Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Kassel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hanau 93 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanau 93 hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kassel
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00