Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Kassel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Friedberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 45.2-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20