Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kassel 0-0 Fernwald
Original prediction
Fernwald
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KasselLDWWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FernwaldDDDLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KasselFernwald
33.3Attack55.6
36.1Defence50.0
38.9Form44.4
38.3Power52.0
1.07xG2.08