Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC Gießen are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kassel
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00