Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kassel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC Gießen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kassel
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00