Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kassel are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 4.33 conceded, while Baunatal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 27.6 against 29.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kassel
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.33/4.33
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20