Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kassel 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kassel 2 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kassel 2 hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Kassel 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kassel 2
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Kassel 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00