Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kassel 2 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and fernwald hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Hessen, favouring Fernwald with 12.1% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
12.1%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00