Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kaspiy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
14.6%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20